中国人口的最新动态与趋势 ——结合第七次全国人口普查数据的分析

Research on the Latest Dynamics and Trends of Population in China An Analysis Combined with the Seventh National Census Data

摘要:

人口普査不仅可以为人口研究，而且可以为国家制定相关的经济社会发展政策提供数据支撑， 具有重要的意义。根据第七次全国人口普査资料，结合历年人口统计和以往各次普査数据，研究对中国最新人 口态势和特点进行了详细的归纳与分析，发现我国人口的最新变化主要体现为：全国人口规模继续增长，但增 长速度和幅度持续放缓，并向零增长和负增长趋近；人口的老龄化速度加快，劳动力人口持续减少。研究认为， 应釆取提高资源利用效率、治理出生性别比、持续提升人口素质、加快户籍制度改革的步伐等措施，以适应人 口形势的新变化。

Abstract:

National Census can not only provide data support for population research ,but also provide data support for the policy-making of national economic and social development, which is of great significance. Based on the seventh national census data, historical population statistics, and previous census data, this study, by conducting a detailed summary and analysis of the latest demographic trends and characteristics in China, finds that the latest changes in China1 s population are mainly reflected in its continuous growth. However, the growth rate and amplitude have continued to slow down, and are approaching zero growth and negative growth. Furthermore, the aging of the population has accelerated, and the labor force has continued to decrease. The study suggests that measures be taken to improve the efficiency of resource utilization, manage the gender ratio at birth, continuously improve the quality of the population, and accelerate the pace of reform of the household registration system to adapt to the new changes in the current population situation.